A new poll by Global Info Analytics has revealed that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, Vice President of Ghana, has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the race to become the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) flagbearer for the 2025 general elections. According to the poll, released on 21st August 2025, 52% of NPP delegates said they would support Dr. Bawumia, while Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, Member of Parliament for Assin Central, garnered 17%, placing him in second position.
This latest data highlights the current dynamics within the ruling party as it prepares to choose a successor to President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo, whose second term will constitutionally come to an end in January 2025. The poll results carry significant implications not only for the internal politics of the NPP but also for the national political scene, as the party gears up to face the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) in what promises to be a fiercely contested general election.
The Context of the NPP Flagbearer Race
The NPP, traditionally one of the two dominant political parties in Ghana alongside the NDC, has always considered its flagbearer selection a decisive moment in shaping its electoral fortunes. Since 1992, the party has rotated between leaders who embodied different wings of its internal traditions—those favoring liberal economics, grassroots populism, or technocratic leadership.
President Akufo-Addo, the outgoing leader, has been the face of the party since 2007, leading the NPP to two electoral victories (2016 and 2020). His imminent exit leaves the party at a crossroads, needing a new leader who can unite its various factions and present a credible front against the NDC’s likely flagbearer, former President John Dramani Mahama.
Dr. Bawumia, who has served as Vice President for eight years, represents continuity with Akufo-Addo’s administration, while Kennedy Agyapong appeals to a more populist base that values blunt honesty and anti-establishment rhetoric.
Breakdown of the Poll
Global Info Analytics, one of Ghana’s most respected polling institutions, conducted the survey among NPP delegates who will play a decisive role in choosing the party’s next flagbearer. The results showed:
• Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia: 52%
• Kennedy Agyapong: 17%
• Other aspirants and undecided delegates: 31%
The poll suggests that while Dr. Bawumia enjoys a commanding lead, there remains a sizable bloc of undecided delegates or supporters of other potential candidates. This 31% margin could determine whether Bawumia secures an outright majority or faces a tighter race in the final stages.
Why Dr. Bawumia is Leading
Several factors account for Dr. Bawumia’s strong position in the poll:
1. Incumbency Advantage
As Vice President, Bawumia has had a direct role in government policy, particularly in digitization, financial reforms, and modernization of Ghana’s systems. His visibility in these areas has given him a strong platform to campaign on.
2. Endorsement by Party Elites
Many within the NPP hierarchy view him as the natural successor to Akufo-Addo. His loyalty, long service, and ability to mobilize grassroots supporters give him an edge.
3. Northern Factor
Dr. Bawumia’s Northern Ghanaian roots also position him strategically, as he could broaden the NPP’s appeal in regions where the party has historically struggled against the NDC.
4. Message of Modernization
His focus on digitization, technological innovation, and modernization resonates with younger voters who are concerned with jobs, technology, and efficiency in governance.
Kennedy Agyapong’s Challenge
Kennedy Agyapong, though trailing significantly in the poll, still remains an influential figure. Known for his no-nonsense attitude, controversial statements, and grassroots appeal, Agyapong has carved a niche as a defender of ordinary Ghanaians against corruption and elitism.
His 17% support indicates that he commands a dedicated base, particularly among delegates who are disillusioned with the establishment or who see him as a voice of accountability. However, his brash style and frequent clashes with party elites may limit his ability to unify the NPP.
Agyapong’s greatest strength lies in his ability to connect emotionally with the base, but the poll results suggest that delegates prioritize stability and continuity over raw populism at this stage of the race.
The Undecided Factor
The 31% of delegates who are either undecided or backing other aspirants represent a crucial swing group. While Dr. Bawumia’s 52% lead is impressive, it is not yet insurmountable if his opponents can consolidate support from undecided delegates.
Possible scenarios include:
• Some undecided delegates gravitating toward Bawumia as momentum builds.
• Kennedy Agyapong gaining ground by appealing to dissatisfaction with the government’s handling of the economy.
• Other figures—such as former ministers or regional power brokers—entering the race to capture part of the undecided bloc.
Implications for the NPP
If the poll results translate into actual delegate votes, Dr. Bawumia is likely to become the NPP’s flagbearer. This would mark a historic moment, as he would be the first Muslim and first Northerner to lead the party into a general election. Such a shift could reshape the NPP’s identity and broaden its national reach.
However, challenges remain. The Akufo-Addo administration has faced criticism over economic difficulties, including high inflation, debt restructuring, and unemployment. As Vice President, Bawumia is closely tied to these issues. His candidacy will need to address public dissatisfaction while presenting a vision for renewal.
For Kennedy Agyapong, even if he does not win the flagbearer slot, his influence could still be felt. He may use his support base to negotiate for key positions or policy priorities within the party. His presence ensures that the flagbearer race will not be a mere coronation but a genuine contest of ideas.
Implications for the 2025 General Elections
The NPP’s choice of flagbearer will directly impact its performance against the NDC. John Mahama, who has already signaled his intent to contest, remains a formidable opponent with deep grassroots support and experience as a former president.
If Dr. Bawumia becomes flagbearer, the NPP will likely campaign on continuity, modernization, and digital transformation. The party may also emphasize regional inclusivity by presenting him as a unifier across Ghana’s diverse regions.
If, against the odds, Kennedy Agyapong secures the slot, the NPP’s campaign would take on a more populist tone, focused on anti-corruption, plain-spoken appeals, and promises of tough reforms.
Either way, the NPP faces the challenge of convincing Ghanaians that it can address economic difficulties while maintaining stability.
Public Reactions to the Poll
The release of the poll results sparked immediate debate across social media, radio, and television platforms. Supporters of Dr. Bawumia celebrated the findings as evidence of his inevitable rise, while Kennedy Agyapong’s loyalists dismissed the poll as biased or premature.
Political analysts cautioned against reading too much into the figures, noting that polls capture only a snapshot in time and that dynamics can shift rapidly, especially in Ghana’s vibrant political environment.
Still, the fact that Dr. Bawumia commands more than half of delegate support gives him momentum and creates a perception of inevitability that could sway undecided voters in his favor.
Conclusion
The August 2025 Global Info Analytics poll provides a telling glimpse into the future of the NPP. With 52% of delegates backing Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia and Kennedy Agyapong trailing with 17%, the Vice President appears well on his way to becoming the party’s flagbearer.
Yet, politics is never static. The 31% undecided delegates remain a wild card, and the coming months will test both candidates’ abilities to consolidate support. For the NPP, the decision is not merely about choosing a leader—it is about shaping its identity, uniting its base, and positioning itself to win the confidence of Ghanaians in 2025.
Whatever the outcome, the flagbearer race is already shaping up to be one of the most consequential in the party’s history, with the potential to redefine Ghana’s political landscape for years to come.
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Do you want me to also create a statistical-style breakdown with charts (e.g., pie chart of delegate support) to visually illustrate the poll results?
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